Voter Flow Analysis: One in Four ÖVP Voters Switched to FPÖ
The strong gains of the FPÖ in the Vienna municipal council elections on Sunday were primarily at the expense of the ÖVP. This is shown by the voter flow analysis of the Foresight Institute for APA and ORF.
Vienna ÖVP lost mainly to FPÖ
Of the ÖVP voters from the last municipal council election in 2020, only 37 percent voted again for the Turquoise or Black, but 27 percent this time for the FPÖ, 16 percent for the SPÖ, and 12 percent for the NEOS. Relatively few ÖVP voters (4 percent) stayed away from the polls this time. Conversely, a similar picture emerges: Of the current FPÖ voters, 29 percent each had voted for the Blues and the ÖVP in 2020, and 26 percent for the SPÖ.
Even in absolute numbers, the shift from Turquoise-Black to Blue is clear: Of the 148,000 ÖVP voters in 2020, 55,000 voted for the ÖVP this time and 40,000 for the FPÖ. The SPÖ absorbed 24,000 votes, the NEOS 18,000.
SPÖ stable, but also lost to FPÖ
The SPÖ, in turn, was able to retain 71 percent (216,000) of its voters from 2020. It lost 36,000 votes to the FPÖ - roughly the same absolute number as the ÖVP (which, due to the much higher total number of voters, of course, represents a significantly lower percentage of 12 percent). 11 percent or 33,000 did not vote, and there were hardly any outflows towards other parties.
KPÖ Gains Mainly from Greens and Others
The anger over the KPÖ's election campaign, which used the slogan "Ludwig will win anyway" to attract red votes, was in vain for the Reds. The KPÖ recruited its voters, in addition to its own voters from 2020 (29 percent), mainly from the Greens (29 percent) and to a lesser extent from the SPÖ (11 percent), others (11 percent), and non-voters (8 percent).
Team HC Strache Largely Absorbed by FPÖ
The Team HC Strache was largely absorbed by the FPÖ: 54 percent of HC voters from 2020 cast their vote for the Blues this time. Only 18 percent each voted again for the new list of the former FPÖ Vice-Chancellor or did not vote at all.
(APA/Red)
This article has been automatically translated, read the original article here.