Surveys: Trio Competes for Third Place Before Vienna Election
Two weeks before the Vienna municipal and state elections on April 27, the current APA election trend shows little movement in the polls. Despite slight losses, the SPÖ is expected to defend the first place confidently. The FPÖ remains in second place with a significant gap, followed by a three-way race: currently, the Greens are ahead of the ÖVP and NEOS. The KPÖ and Team HC Strache would currently miss entering.
SPÖ in the last Vienna election with 41.6 percent
The SPÖ is stable in first place with 38.9 percent. Since mid-January, little has changed in the polls: even then, the Vienna Reds were already at 39 percent. The party of Mayor Michael Ludwig had reached 41.6 percent in the 2020 election but had plummeted to just under 35 percent in polls last summer. The FPÖ loses slightly compared to early April and is now at 21.7 percent. Nevertheless, this would mean a substantial increase of 14.5 percent for the Freedom Party compared to 2020. However, it would not be the FPÖ's historically best result: former party leader Heinz-Christian Strache achieved this with 30.79 percent in 2015.
He is polling at around two percent with his list Team HC Strache and is likely to fail to enter the municipal council, as in 2020. The APA election trend does not include the small party, as it is limited to parties that have reached at least four percent in one poll in the last 52 weeks.
Greens, ÖVP, NEOS not far apart
In the race for third place, the Greens are still ahead. They have been stable at around 12 percent since January. Closely followed by the ÖVP: they have recently recorded slight gains and are now at 11.2 percent. However, this will not change much in the fact that the Vienna ÖVP will have to accept massive losses compared to the 2020 election. As it stands, this would be a decrease of 9.2 percent.
Currently, the NEOS are still in fifth place, with a trend value of 9.3 percent. This would mean a gain of 1.8 percent compared to the last election, but a new edition of the Red-Pink coalition is not yet mathematically secured. Currently, the two parties have 54 out of 100 seats in the municipal council. The KPÖ has little chance of entering the municipal council: they are currently at 3.7 percent, well below the necessary threshold of five percent.
(APA/Red)
This article has been automatically translated, read the original article here.