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Vienna Election 2025 Could Bring Several Records

Der Wiener FPÖ wird eine Verdreifachung der Stimmen prognostiziert.
Der Wiener FPÖ wird eine Verdreifachung der Stimmen prognostiziert. ©APA/HELMUT FOHRINGER
The Vienna Election 2025 promises records for four parties: a possible doubling of votes for the FPÖ, a historically low result for the SPÖ, and a looming decline for the ÖVP, while a new record seems to be on the horizon for the NEOS.

Several records could be broken in today's Vienna Election. The biggest rollercoaster ride is expected for the FPÖ. The Blues, after the biggest drop ever in the 2020 election, are now likely to record a growth record. Should the SPÖ fall below the 39.15 percent mark, it would be their worst result to date. The ÖVP faces a decline five years after the biggest gain in its history - although probably not a historic one. A new record is in sight for the NEOS.

FPÖ eyes historical growth in Vienna Election after record low

The Viennese Freedom Party is predicted to triple its votes. This also makes a record growth possible, with the previous largest gain being +12.82 percent in 1991. This time it could be more, also because the Blues, after the record drop in 2020 (-23.68 percentage points) in the shadow of the Ibiza and expense scandal, are starting from a very low level (7.47 percent). The party is likely to return from fifth place to second place. However, a new record seems out of reach, as the Viennese FPÖ would have to surpass the 30.79 percent from 2015.

Viennese SPÖ could fall below the 40 percent mark again

Losses are expected for the SPÖ. The mayor's party could fall below the 40 percent mark, which it had climbed back above five years ago. Before 2015, the Reds had already had to settle for a 3 in front of the election result in 1996. At that time, the party also recorded its worst result to date with 39.15 percent in the red-dominated Vienna since 1945. Things would have to go extremely badly for a new record low - so far this was 8.66 percentage points in the 1996 election.

Fourth place in Vienna Election would be nothing new for ÖVP

For the ÖVP, where a larger loss is expected, this would not yet be a new record. For this, the People's Party would have to drop by more than 10.35 percentage points, as happened in 1991. A new negative record would also be extremely bitter. The previous low point in the share of votes was recorded by the city-Turquoise in the federal capital in 2015 with 9.24 percent. This time, after the record gain of 2020 (+11.19), they are starting from a relatively high level (20.43). The second place conquered in 2020 is likely to be a thing of the past, but a drop to fourth place would be nothing new, as the ÖVP already landed there once in 2015.

NEOS eyes new record

For the Greens, the bar is also set high after the record result of 2020 (14.80). A record low is possible, for which the party would only have to lose more than 1.99 percentage points, as was the case in 2010. The NEOS, who have only run twice in the Viennese municipal elections so far, can hope for a new record. The record result would already be broken with a result of more than 7.47 percent of the vote, as the Pinks achieved in 2020.

(APA/Red)

This article has been automatically translated, read the original article here.

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