APA Election Trend Sees FPÖ Ahead of ÖVP

In polls, the ÖVP recently achieved just over 20 percent. If new elections were to be held, the FPÖ could benefit significantly. In the APA election trend, which takes into account the survey results of the past five weeks, the Blues recently reached 35.5 percent.
FPÖ Clearly Ahead of ÖVP in Polls
In the National Council election, the Freedom Party was relatively close to the ÖVP with 28.8 percent compared to 26.3 percent. Since then, the gap between Blue and Turquoise has continued to widen. At the end of October, the FPÖ was at 32 percent, at the end of November at 33 and in December at almost 36 percent. For the ÖVP, on the other hand, things have been going downhill since the election: from 24 percent at the end of October to 23 percent in November to just 21 percent in December.

SPÖ Recently Slightly Down in Polls, NEOS Up
The SPÖ also lost slightly in the polls recently: In the National Council election, the Social Democrats landed in third place for the first time with 21.1 percent. From this historical low, the SPÖ recently slipped to just under 20 percent in the election trend. The Greens, on the other hand, were able to stabilize at the level of their election result (most recently at eight percent), the NEOS even slightly increased (from 9.1 to 10.4 percent).
Polls Show FPÖ at Record Level
In the surveys conducted in December, the FPÖ reached 35 to 37 percent. Thus, the Freedom Party is slightly above their previous record values of up to 35 percent from the end of 2016. The highest was recently at the IFDD institute, which asked 1,250 Austrians about their voting intentions on 17 and 18 December. At Unique Research and Market, the Freedom Party was at 35 percent, at the Lazarsfeld Society at 36 percent.
Conversely, the ÖVP reached only 20 to 22 percent in December, the SPÖ 19 to 21 percent. The Greens have been stable at seven to eight percent since the election. The poll values of the NEOS developed comparatively positively. The Pinks reached ten to twelve percent in December - so they were slightly above their election result of 9.1 percent. Since mid-November, the NEOS had been negotiating with the ÖVP and SPÖ about the formation of a three-party coalition. On Friday, they broke off the talks.
(APA/Red)
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